• A simple risk score to predict in-hospital mortality after pancreatic resection for cancer

      Hill, Joshua S.; Zhou, Zheng; Simons, Jessica P.; Ng, Sing Chau; McDade, Theodore P.; Whalen, Giles F.; Tseng, Jennifer F. (2010-07-16)
      BACKGROUND: Pancreatectomy for cancer continues to have substantial perioperative risk, and the factors affecting mortality are ill defined. An integer-based risk score based on national data might help clarify the risk of in-hospital mortality in patients undergoing pancreatic resection. METHODS: Records with the diagnosis of pancreatic cancer were queried from the Nationwide Inpatient Sample for 1998-2006. Procedures were categorized as proximal, distal, or nonspecified pancreatectomies on the basis of ICD-9 codes. Logistic regression and bootstrap methods were used to create an integer risk score for estimating the risk of in-hospital mortality using patient demographics, comorbidities (Charlson comorbidity score), procedure, and hospital type. A random sample of 80% of the cohort was used to create the risk score with a 20% internal validation set. RESULTS: A total of 5715 patient discharges were identified. Composite in-hospital mortality was 5.8%. Predictors used for the final model were age group, Charlson score, sex, type of pancreatectomy, and hospital volume status (low-, medium-, or high-volume center). Integer values were assigned to these characteristics and then used for calculating an additive score. Three clinically useful score groups were defined to stratify the risk of in-hospital mortality (mortality was 2.0, 6.2, and 13.9%, respectively; P < 0.0001), with a 6.95-fold difference between the low- and high-risk groups. There was sufficient discrimination of both the derivation set and the validation set, with c statistics of 0.71 and 0.72, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: An integer-based risk score can be used to accurately predict in-hospital mortality after pancreatectomy and may be useful for preoperative risk stratification and patient counseling.
    • Complications after pancreatectomy for neuroendocrine tumors: a national study

      Smith, Jillian K.; Ng, Sing Chau; Hill, Joshua S.; Simons, Jessica P.; Arous, Edward J.; Shah, Shimul A.; Tseng, Jennifer F.; McDade, Theodore P. (2010-09-06)
      BACKGROUND: Although resection of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors (PNETs) has a demonstrated survival advantage, further evaluation of the overall morbidity of these procedures is needed. Our objective was to examine a composite outcome of major postoperative complications, including in-hospital mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS), 1998-2006, was used to identify all patients with a diagnosis of PNET who had undergone pancreatectomy. Candidate predictors consisted of patient and hospital characteristics. Univariate analyses included chi(2) tests. Multivariate analyses were performed with logistic regression to determine which predictors were independently associated with the composite outcome. RESULTS: A total of 463 (2274 nationally weighted) patients were identified. Overall composite postoperative complication rate was 29.6%. The majority of complications involved infections (11.1%), digestive complications (8.8%), or pulmonary compromise (7.3%). In-hospital mortality rate was 1.7%. High Charlson comorbidity score, procedure type of Whipple or total pancreatectomy, and urban hospital location were all associated with significantly increased complication rate. Logistic regression analysis demonstrated: Charlson score of > or =3 versus score of 0 (adjusted odds ratio (OR) 4.1, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.1-8.3), surgery type of Whipple or total pancreatectomy versus partial pancreatectomy (adjusted OR 2.7, 95% CI 1.8-4.1), and hospital location of urban versus rural (adjusted OR 4.5, 95% CI 3.0-6.9). CONCLUSIONS: While in-hospital mortality rates are low for surgical resection of PNETs, there is a considerable overall postoperative complication rate associated with these procedures. Careful patient and surgery selection may be the key to a surgical treatment approach for PNETs that may optimize outcomes.
    • Outcomes following resection of pancreatic cancer

      Witkowski, Elan R.; Smith, Jillian K.; Tseng, Jennifer F. (2013-01-01)
      Pancreatic cancer is an aggressive and highly lethal malignancy. Surgical resection is a modest tool, but it provides the only potential for curative therapy and often prolongs survival. This article reviews the progress made on both local and national levels towards an era of safer pancreatic surgery, while discussing both perioperative outcomes and long-term survival after resection.