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    Date Issued2021 (1)2020 (2)Author
    Curtin, Patrick (3)
    Swart, Eric F. (2)Bosse, Michael (1)Braun, Benjamin M. (1)Colcord, Madison (1)View MoreUMass Chan AffiliationDepartment of Orthopedics and Physical Rehabilitation (3)Department of Neurological Surgery (1)Department of Surgery (1)Document TypeJournal Article (2)Accepted Manuscript (1)KeywordOrthopedics (3)ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator (1)ALIF (1)Complications (1)Deformity (1)View MoreJournalJournal of orthopaedic trauma (1)Journal of personalized medicine (1)Spine (1)

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    Nonoperative treatment of select LC-II pelvic ring injuries (OTA/AO 61B2.2) results in a low rate of radiographic displacement

    Gibbs, Stephen; Colcord, Madison; Curtin, Patrick; Roomian, Tamar; Seymour, Rachel; Phelps, Kevin; Kempton, Laurence; Hsu, Joseph; Sims, Stephen; Bosse, Michael; et al. (2021-05-24)
    Objectives: to quantify radiographic outcomes and identify predictors of late displacement in the nonoperative treatment of LC-2 pelvic ring injuries. DESIGN: Retrospective review. SETTING: Two level 1 trauma centers. PATIENTS/PARTICIPANTS: Thirty eight patients > /=18 years old with LC-2 pelvic ring injuries. INTERVENTION: Nonoperative treatment. MAIN OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS: Crescent fracture displacement measured on initial axial Computed Tomography. Change in pelvic ring alignment measured by the Deformity Index, Simple Ratio, Inlet and Outlet Ratios on successive plain radiographs. RESULTS: Patients in this study had minimally displaced LC-2 pelvic ring injuries, with median initial crescent fracture displacement of 2mm and median initial Deformity Index of 2%. No patient had a > /=10 percentage point change in Deformity Index over the treatment period, but small amounts of displacement were seen on the other ratios. No patients initially selected for nonoperative treatment converted to operative treatment. No radiographic predictors of late displacement were identified. Bilateral pubic rami fractures and the presence of a complete sacral fracture ipsilateral to the crescent fracture were not associated with late displacement. CONCLUSIONS: A spectrum of injury severity and stability exists in the LC-2 pattern. Nonoperative treatment of LC-2 injuries with low initial deformity and crescent fracture displacement results in minimal subsequent displacement. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic Level IV. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
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    Does the ACS NSQIP Surgical Risk Calculator Accurately Predict Complications Rates After Anterior Lumbar Interbody Fusion Procedures

    Narain, Ankur S.; Kitto, Alexander Z.; Braun, Benjamin M.; Poorman, Matthew J.; Curtin, Patrick; Slavin, Justin; Whalen, Giles F.; DiPaola, Christian P.; Connolly, Patrick J.; Stauff, Michael P. (2020-12-17)
    STUDY DESIGN: Clinical case series. OBJECTIVE: To determine the effectiveness of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) surgical risk calculator in the prediction of complications after anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: Identifying at-risk patients may aid in the prevention of complications after spine procedures. The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator was developed to predict 30-day postoperative complications for a variety of operative procedures. METHODS: Medical records of patients undergoing ALIF at our institution from 2009-2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic and comorbidity variables were entered into the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator to generate percentage predictions for complication incidence within 30 days postoperatively. The observed incidences of these complications were also abstracted from the medical record. The predictive ability of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator was assessed in comparison to the observed incidence of complications using area under the curve (AUC) analyses. RESULTS: Two hundred fifty-three (253) patients were analyzed. The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator was a fair predictor of discharge to non-home facility (AUC 0.71) and surgical site infection (AUC 0.70). The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator was a good predictor of acute kidney injury/progressive renal insufficiency (AUC 0.81). The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator was not an adequate predictive tool for any other category, including: pneumonia, urinary tract infections, venous thromboembolism, readmission, reoperations, and aggregate complications (AUC < 0.70). CONCLUSIONS: The ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator is an adequate predictive tool for a subset of complications after ALIF including acute kidney injury/progressive renal insufficiency, surgical site infections, and discharge to non-home facilities. However, it is a poor predictor for all other complication groups. The reliability of the ACS NSQIP surgical risk calculator is limited, and further identification of models for risk stratification are necessary for patients undergoing ALIF.Level of Evidence: 3.
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    Compilation and Analysis of Web-Based Orthopedic Personalized Predictive Tools: A Scoping Review

    Curtin, Patrick; Conway, Alexandra; Martin, Liu; Lin, Eugenia; Jayakumar, Prakash; Swart, Eric F. (2020-11-12)
    Web-based personalized predictive tools in orthopedic surgery are becoming more widely available. Despite rising numbers of these tools, many orthopedic surgeons may not know what tools are available, how these tools were developed, and how they can be utilized. The aim of this scoping review is to compile and synthesize the profile of existing web-based orthopedic tools. We conducted two separate PubMed searches-one a broad search and the second a more targeted one involving high impact journals-with the aim of comprehensively identifying all existing tools. These articles were then screened for functional tool URLs, methods regarding the tool's creation, and general inputs and outputs required for the tool to function. We identified 57 articles, which yielded 31 unique web-based tools. These tools involved various orthopedic conditions (e.g., fractures, osteoarthritis, musculoskeletal neoplasias); interventions (e.g., fracture fixation, total joint arthroplasty); outcomes (e.g., mortality, clinical outcomes). This scoping review highlights the availability and utility of a vast array of web-based personalized predictive tools for orthopedic surgeons. Increased awareness and access to these tools may allow for better decision support, surgical planning, post-operative expectation management, and improved shared decision-making.
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