BACKGROUND: Cardiogenic shock resulting from acute myocardial infarction is a serious complication with a high mortality rate, but little is known about whether its incidence or outcome has changed over time. As part of an ongoing population-based study of acute myocardial infarction, we examined trends over time in the incidence and mortality rate of cardiogenic shock after acute myocardial infarction. METHODS: We studied 4762 patients with acute myocardial infarction who were admitted to 16 hospitals in the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area between 1975 and 1988. We determined the incidence of and short-term and long-term mortality due to cardiogenic shock in each of six years during this study period. RESULTS: The incidence of cardiogenic shock complicating acute myocardial infarction remained relatively constant, averaging 7.5 percent. Multivariate regression analysis that controlled for variables affecting incidence revealed significant though inconsistent temporal trends in the incidence of cardiogenic shock. As compared with the risk in 1975, the adjusted relative risk (with 95 percent confidence interval) was 0.83 (0.54 to 1.28) in 1978, 0.96 (0.63 to 1.48) in 1981, 0.68 (0.42 to 1.12) in 1984, 1.16 (0.70 to 1.92) in 1986, and 1.65 (0.99 to 2.77) in 1988. The overall in-hospital mortality rate among patients with cardiogenic shock was significantly higher than that among patients without this complication (77.7 percent vs. 13.5 percent, P less than 0.001). The in-hospital mortality among the patients with shock did not improve between 1975 (73.7 percent) and 1988 (81.7 percent). Long-term survival during the 14-year follow-up period was significantly worse among patients who survived cardiogenic shock during hospitalization than among patients who did not have shock (P less than 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The results of this observational, community-wide study suggest that neither the incidence nor the prognosis of cardiogenic shock resulting from acute myocardial infarction has improved over time. Both in-hospital and long-term survival remain poor for patients with this complication.

As part of an ongoing community-wide study examining changes over time in the incidence and survival rates of 4108 patients hospitalized with validated acute myocardial infarction (MI) in 16 hospitals in the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area during calendar years 1975, 1978, 1981, 1984, and 1986, we examined changes over time in the proportion of patients with acute MI developing atrial fibrillation (AF) and the impact of AF on in-hospital and long-term survival for up to a 10-year follow-up period. The overall percentage of patients with AF complicating acute MI was 16.0%; this proportion increased over time from 13.3% in 1975 to 14.8% in 1978, 14.9% in 1981, 20.3% in 1984, and to 17.7% in 1986. Patients with AF experienced consistently higher in-hospital case fatality rates than MI patients without AF overall (27.6% versus 16.6%), as well as during each of the 5 years under study. The independent effect of AF on in-hospital survival was not upheld, however, when a variety of potentially confounding prognostic factors were controlled for in a multivariate analysis resulting in an adjusted odds ratio (OR) of 1.18 (95% confidence interval 0.90, 1.52). Among discharged hospital patients, while the crude long-term survival rate for patients with AF was poorer than that of patients without AF for the combined as well as for individual study periods, similar to the in-hospital findings the independent effect of AF on long-term prognosis was not upheld after use of a multivariate analysis.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)