Underreporting of energy consumption by self-report is well-recognized, but previous studies using recovery biomarkers have not been sufficiently large to establish whether participant characteristics predict misreporting. In 2004-2005, 544 participants in the Women's Health Initiative Dietary Modification Trial completed a doubly labeled water protocol (energy biomarker), 24-hour urine collection (protein biomarker), and self-reports of diet (assessed by food frequency questionnaire (FFQ)), exercise, and lifestyle habits; 111 women repeated all procedures after 6 months. Using linear regression, the authors estimated associations of participant characteristics with misreporting, defined as the extent to which the log ratio (self-reported FFQ/nutritional biomarker) was less than zero. Intervention women in the trial underreported energy intake by 32% (vs. 27% in the comparison arm) and protein intake by 15% (vs. 10%). Younger women had more underreporting of energy (p = 0.02) and protein (p = 0.001), while increasing body mass index predicted increased underreporting of energy and overreporting of percentage of energy derived from protein (p = 0.001 and p = 0.004, respectively). Blacks and Hispanics underreported more than did Caucasians. Correlations of initial measures with repeat measures (n = 111) were 0.72, 0.70, 0.46, and 0.64 for biomarker energy, FFQ energy, biomarker protein, and FFQ protein, respectively. Recovery biomarker data were used in regression equations to calibrate self-reports; the potential application of these equations to disease risk modeling is presented. The authors confirm the existence of systematic bias in dietary self-reports and provide methods of correcting for measurement error.

Further analyses from the Women's Health Initiative estrogen trial shows that CEE reduced fracture risk. The fracture reduction at the hip did not differ appreciably among risk strata. These data do not support overall benefit over risk, even in women at highest risk for fracture. INTRODUCTION: The Women's Health Initiative provided evidence that conjugated equine estrogen (CEE) can significantly reduce fracture risk in postmenopausal women. Additional analysis of the effects of CEE on BMD and fracture are presented. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Postmenopausal women 50-79 years of age with hysterectomy were randomized to CEE 0.625 mg daily (n = 5310) or placebo (n = 5429) and followed for an average 7.1 years. Fracture incidence was assessed by semiannual questionnaire and verified by adjudication of radiology reports. BMD was measured in a subset of women (N = 938) at baseline and years 1, 3, and 6. A global index was used to examine whether the balance of risks and benefits differed by baseline fracture risk. RESULTS: CEE reduced the risk of hip (hazard ratio [HR], 0.65; 95% CI, 0.45-0.94), clinical vertebral (HR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.44-0.93), wrist/lower arm (HR, 0.58; 95% CI, 0.47-0.72), and total fracture (HR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.64-0.80). This effect did not differ among strata according to age, oophorectomy status, past hormone use, race/ethnicity, fall frequency, physical activity, or fracture history. Total fracture reduction was less in women at the lowest predicted fracture risk in both absolute and relative terms (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.68-1.08). CEE also provided modest but consistent positive effects on BMD. The HRs of the global index for CEE were relatively balanced across tertiles of summary fracture risk (lowest risk: HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.62-1.05; mid risk: HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.92-1.30; highest risk: HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.88-1.23; interaction, p = 0.42). CONCLUSIONS: CEE reduces the risk of fracture and increases BMD in hysterectomized postmenopausal women. Even among the women with the highest risk for fractures, when considering the effects of estrogen on other important health outcomes, a summary of the burden of monitored effects does not indicate a significant net benefit.

We investigated the accuracy of self-report of hospitalization for acute myocardial infarction (MI) by elderly persons in a community-based prospective study. Among 3809 persons aged 65 years or older followed up for 6 years, self-reported hospitalization for MI was validated by review of primary records and Medicare diagnoses. Among 147 who self-reported MI and for whom hospital records were available, the diagnosis was confirmed in 79 (54%). Myocardial infarction was not a reason for hospitalization among the remaining 68 participants; misclassification with other cardiovascular diagnoses was common. Medicare diagnosis correlated well with primary hospital records. Using Medicare diagnoses as the standard, the diagnosis of MI was confirmed in 53% of self-reports; the sensitivity and specificity of self-report were 51% and 98%, respectively. False-negative reporting was common because only half of hospitalizations for MI were reported. Self-report of hospitalization for MI by elderly persons in the community may be unreliable for ascertaining trends in cardiovascular diseases.