National Trends in Lung Cancer Stage, Treatment, and Time to Treatment Initiation After a Major Healthcare Disruption (NCDB 2014-2022)
Collante, Javier Diaz ; Crawford, Allison ; Reddington, Hayley ; Markel, Arianna ; Epstein, Mara ; Gray, Catherine ; Lou, Feiran ; Phillips, William ; Maxfield, Mark ; Uy, Karl ... show 1 more
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Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Healthcare system (HCS) disruptions during COVID-19 have significantly impacted cancer diagnostics and treatment management. This study examined the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the staging at diagnosis, initial treatment patterns, and time to treatment initiation (TTI) for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), focusing on disparities across healthcare settings and demographics.
METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of NSCLC cases in the US National Cancer Database (2014-2022), excluding records with missing TTI or clinical stage data. Outcomes were compared before (2014-2019) and after (2021-2022) the healthcare system disruption using chi-square tests, t-tests, and interrupted time series analysis.
RESULTS: A total of 865,808 individuals were included (mean age 69; 50% female; 82% White; 73% Medicare/Medicaid). Early-stage diagnoses increased from 44% to 46% (p<0.01). Minor differences were observed in initial treatment patterns. Mean TTI increased by approximately 9 days (p<0.01), with community cancer programs showing the greatest increase (+10 days) compared to other facilities. Regional differences were also noted, with New England experiencing the highest TTI increase (+12 days). Black individuals faced longer TTIs (56 vs 51 days for White patients), though White patients experienced the greatest increased (+9 days).
CONCLUSIONS: Healthcare system disruptions due to COVID-19 were associated with delayed NSCLC diagnoses, longer treatment initiation, and persistent disparities in access to timely care. While short-term survival differences were modest, earlier treatment initiation remained associated with improved outcomes. Further research is needed to evaluate whether these delays persist and to explore their long-term consequences on patient outcomes.
POLICY SUMMARY: This evidence calls for resilience-focused oncology policies, supporting continuity plans, real-time delay monitoring, and targeted resource allocation to underserved and outpatient settings.
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Collante JD, Crawford A, Reddington H, Markel A, Epstein M, Gray C, Lou F, Phillips W, Maxfield M, Uy K, Emmerick I. National Trends in Lung Cancer Stage, Treatment, and Time to Treatment Initiation After a Major Healthcare Disruption (NCDB 2014-2022). J Cancer Policy. 2026 Feb 26:100724. doi: 10.1016/j.jcpo.2026.100724. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41763647.