Home Diagnostics, Viral Dynamics, and Post-acute Sequelae of SARS-COV-2
Herbert, Carly
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Abstract
Introduction: The emergence of the novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, has necessitated prompt evaluations of diagnostic technologies, viral dynamics, and long-term complications of COVID-19 to inform clinical and public health strategies. Methods: Using data from the RADx Clinical Studies Core collected from October 2021-February 2022, we evaluated the longitudinal performance of reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) and antigen-detecting rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDT) by day past symptom onset and close-contact exposure and compared performance by sex, age, vaccination status, and variant (Aim 1). We further examined the association between SARS-CoV-2 viral load, BMI, and sex (Aim 2). Lastly, we conducted a follow-up survey in August 2023 regarding Long COVID. We then modeled the relationship between viral clearance of SARS-CoV-2 and Long COVID (Aim 3). Results: RT-PCR and Ag-RDT showed the highest percent positivity two days past symptom onset (RT-PCR: 91.2%; Ag-RDT: 71.1%) and six days past exposure (RT-PCR: 91.8%; Ag-RDT: 86.2%). Performance did not differ by vaccination status, variant, age category, or sex. In males, increasing BMI was associated with higher viral load in a dose-response fashion, and males had significantly lower viral load than females for BMI>29. Lastly, the risk of long COVID with 3-4 symptoms and 5+ symptoms increased by 2.90 times (95% CI: 1.09-7.74) and 4.54 times (95% CI: 1.84-11.2) per viral load slope-unit increase, respectively. Conclusion: Understanding SARS-CoV-2 viral dynamics is critical to identify effective diagnostic strategies for COVID-19, explain differences in COVID-19 outcomes across sex and BMI, and understand mechanistic contributors of Long COVID.
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