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Circulating causal protein networks linked to future risk of myocardial infarction

Bankier, Sean
Gudmundsdottir, Valborg
Jonmundsson, Thorarinn
Bjarnadottir, Heida
Loureiro, Joseph
Wang, Lingfei
Frick, Elísabet A
Finkel, Nancy
Orth, Anthony P
Aspelund, Thor
... show 7 more
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Abstract

Variations in blood protein levels have been linked to numerous complex diseases, including cardiovascular conditions. These associations highlight the intricate interplay between local and systemic factors in cardiovascular disease development, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive, systems-level understanding of its etiology. To address this, we develop a causal network inference framework using data from one of the largest serum proteomics studies to date, comprising measurements of 7523 serum proteins in the prospective, population-based Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik Study (AGES) cohort of 5376 older adults. Using cis-acting protein quantitative trait loci (pQTLs) as instrumental variables within a causal inference framework designed to mitigate hidden confounding, we identify 185 high-confidence causal serum protein subnetworks collectively interacting with 5611 targets. Several subnetworks, many forming hierarchical frameworks of directional relationships, are significantly associated with multiple cardiometabolic traits and with future risk of myocardial infarction and its long-term complication, heart failure.

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Bankier S, Gudmundsdottir V, Jonmundsson T, Bjarnadottir H, Loureiro J, Wang L, Frick EA, Finkel N, Orth AP, Aspelund T, Launer LJ, Björkegren JLM, Jennings LL, Lamb JR, Gudnason V, Michoel T, Emilsson V. Circulating causal protein networks linked to future risk of myocardial infarction. Nat Commun. 2025 Dec 18. doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-67135-3. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 41413375.

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10.1038/s41467-025-67135-3
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41413375
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© The Author(s) 2025. Open Access: This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.